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Refraction determination

Using a derivative of Hohenkerk&Sinclair's implementation (1985) of Auer&Sandish (1979) refraction model, one can see what the effect is of a changing temperature gradient near ground level (Reijs, 2007). Several temperature gradient values are typical for certain atmospheric conditions (Sun's insolation, wind speed, cloud cover, cloud height and time of day) and these are defined as stability class A to G. The temperature gradients belonging to these stability classes range from <-19 (stability class A) to >40 C/km (stability class G).

The variability due to ranging temperature gradients (as defined by for instance stability classes) is given in this graph (Reijs, 2007):
Refraction due to
        different temperature gradient

The apparent altitude in above picture is related to two different horizon configurations:

Stability class G can happen normally during midnight and Stability class A can happen during noon. Depending on the atmospheric conditions the temperature gradient around sunrise or sunset can be close to these temperature gradients (aka stability classes). Sunrise conditions can be more varying than the sunset temperature gradients (Lapworth 2003, 2006).

Dynamics of the temperature gradient and its influence on the ray's curvature radius

The influence of the temperature gradient of on the radius of the light ray's curvature can be seen in below picture:
Ray's radius
      curvature with rgard to temperature gradeint

So the temperature gradient of lower than -0.043K/m results in rays that get a negative radius, meaning that they will be refracted upwards (in that case the celestial object will be seen lower in the sky than 'normal'). If the temperature is larger than 0.12K/m the light ray ends up on the ground (the realm of mirages).

An example of refraction due to a temperature inversion

The Sun can be disfigured due to the temperature profile and one of such happens when there is an inversion in the height-temperature profile causing a mock-mirage. See in below picture for the profile:

Height-temperature profile

The refraction that happens with one's eyes at 350m height, can be seen in below picture (using my implementation of Auer&Standish):
Refraction of
      Benchmark3 hieght-temperatur eprofile with eyst at 350m

Using this refraction behavior, a ducted Sun can be seen in the following few pictures, with the setting Sun is at different topocentric altitudes (of course the Sun would be much more orange when it is near/below the horizon):
Sun at -66'
              in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)
Sun at -66' in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)
Sun at -67'
              in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)
Sun at -67' in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)
Sun at -97'
                in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)
Sun at -97' in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)
Sun at -98'
                in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)
Sun at -98' in benchamerk3 (eye at 350m)

The blue flashes are seen difficultly in the rise/setting environment, but green flashes are witnessed. Red travels well in the horizon environment and can be seen as red flashes.

An animation of this can be seen here. A similar event has been witnessed in real live.

Variation in profiles

If we average the refraction seen due to varying temperature gradients (given by the 950 event observations [three years] at the Pilgrim power plant during consecutive days), we see the following graph (the averages: single lines (axis in the middle); the standard deviation: double lines (axis on the right side)).
Variability of
        refraction udirng the day (incl. StDev)

One could distinguish three apparent altitude regions that are resulting due to variability of the temperature gradient:

  1. Positive Apparent Altitude Refraction: PAAR
    above AppAlt=0.25, the standard deviation (1 sigma), due to variation of temperature gradient, is smaller than 6'
  2. Negative Apparent Altitude Refraction: NAAR
    below AppAlt=-0.5, the standard deviation is larger than 30' and slightly decreasing
  3. Around Zero Apparent Altitude Refraction: AZAAR
    between the above two boundaries, the standard deviation changes between 6' and 30'.

Refraction sensitivity due to parameter changes

By varying the refraction model's parameters, one gets an idea of the sensitivities due to these parameter changes. The following parameters were changed (one parameter was changed while keeping the others at their Default value):
Parameter
Latitude
[°]
Temperature
[°C]
Air Pressure
[mbar]
Relative Humidity
[%]
Wave length [nm]
Temp. Gradient [K/km]
Surface layer height [m]*
Minimum
30 0 913.25 0 532 (green)
-26 (stability class A)
50
Default
47.5
15
1013.25
30
600 (orange)
-10 (stability class D) 500
Maximum
65 30 1113.25 60 650 (red)
80 (stability class G) 750
Resulting sensitivity
in refraction (around AppAlt=0)
0.05%
9%**
11%** 0.3%
0.5%
11%(A) / 93%(G)
0.8%
* Surface layer does not really exists at the Default value of Temp. Gradient.
** Similar sensitivity is seen when using the formula

A graphical representation can be seen here:
Refraction
      sensitivities

At Apparent altitudes lower than 1 deg: the Temperature Gradient provides the largest sensitivity, followed by Air Pressure and Temperature. The other parameters don't effect significantly the refraction. At higher apparent altitudes the Air Pressure and Temperature influences are the largest, while Temp. Gradient's sensitivity diminishes.

The influence of the maximum height for the HT profile on the astronomical  refraction can be seen below. When using a cut off height for the MUSA76 profile, the influence can be seen in the below table and graph:
Cut off height
[km]

Reduction from astronomical refraction
  (reference: 85 km HT profile and AppAlt=0) [%]

.25
85%
.5
80%
1
70%
2.5
50%
4
40%
8
20%
11
13%
20
2.5%
32
0.3%
47
0.04%
51
0.03%
71
0.003%


Influence of the heigtht of the HT profile

A cut off height of the HT profile for higher than 20km is essential to be keep accuracy (within arcminutes) high enough. Reducing the HT profile's cut-off height to 11km, has a smaller influence than the variation due to Temp. Gradients (certainly below AppAlt=0, aka NAAR region).
It is also clear that the first 2.5km of the ray's path determines almost 50% (100%-50%) of the astronomical refraction.

Comparing VR's refraction implementation (in PAAR region)

Beside the webmaster's Auer&Standish (1979) implementation (VR); Marcel Tschudin (MET) and Andrew Young (ATY) also have an implementation of Auer&Standish, while Siebren van der Werf (SvdW) (2003, 2008) has his own methodology and implementation that allows for non-spherical symmetry in the HT (Height-Temperature) profiles (which can be very handy when have more complex landscapes, as described here). The three implementations have been benchmarked and they provide within arcsecs the same results.
The HT profiles were provided by Steve McCluskey (SMcC), who derived them from the CASES99 study. Four HT-profiles (being outliners during CASES99 sun rise events) were used for comparing the three different implementations. The results from the four HT profiles within these three implementation can be seen in below graph:
Comparing three implmentations of refraction models

The four implementation provide similar outputs for these four events, this shows that the results of the implementations and methodologies are reproducible. Such similarity happens both for ground elevations of 0m (NAAR, AZAAR and PAAR) and 433m (PAAR), so the four implementation are also handling the elevation of the ground properly.

For around zero and negative altitudes (AZAAR and NAAR) the HT profile can cause problems (ducting) in the Auer&Standish implementations; van der Werf's method is able to overcome this problem by changing the HT profile depending on the distance from the observer (aka allowing non-spherical symmetry). But several benchmark tests have been performed with a HT profiles that produce ducting and the four implementations provide within arcsec agreement.

Comparing refraction variation

The following evaluation was made by looking at the refraction variation in the PAAR region (all have a different way of statistical evaluation):
In the below graph a comparison for standard deviation of the refraction variation can be seen:
Standard deviation comparison

As the statistical and atmospheric conditions of the above sets are quiet different, more study needs to be done, to be able to compare like with like.

Refraction measurements

The following refraction measurements have been gathered: looking at the refraction variation in the PAAR, AZAAR and NAAR regions (all have a different atmospheric conditions):

References

Auer, L.H., and E.M. Standish. 1979. Astronomical refraction: Computational method for all zenith angles. (Yale University Astronomy Department note).
Hohenkerk, Catherine Y., and A.T. Sinclair. 1985. "The computation of angular atmospheric refraction at large zenith angles." ed. by HM nautical almanac office. Cambridge.
Lapworth, Alan J. 2003. 'Factors determining the decrease in surface windspeed following the evening transition', Quart. J. Royal Meteorological Society, Vol 129: pp. 1945-68.
Lapworth, Alan J. 2006. 'The morning transition of the nocturnal boundary layer', Boundary-Layer Meteorology, Vol 119: pp. 501-26.
Reijs, Victor M.M. 2007.'Refraction: Refraction calculation', in http://www.archaeocosmology.org/eng/refract.htm#Calculated [accessed 2 July 2012].
Reijs, Victor M.M., 2017, "Geniet: Thom's terrestrial refraction observations", http://www.archaeocosmology.org/eng/Thom-refraction.htm
Sampson, Russell D., Edward P. Lozowski, and Arsha Fathi-Nejad. 2008. 'Variability in low altitude astronomical refraction as a function of altitude', Applied optics, Vol 47: pp. H1-H4.
Thom, Alexander. 1958. 'An empirical investigation of atmospheric refraction', Empire Survey Review, Vol 14: pp. 248-62.
Thom, Alexander. 1971. Megalithic lunar observatories (Oxford University Press).
Werf, Siebren Y. van der, Gunther P. Konnen, and Waldermar H. Lehn. 2003. 'Novaya Zemlya effect and sunsets', Applied optics, Vol 42: pp. 367-78.
Werf, Siebren Y. van der. 2008. 'Comment on “Improved ray tracing air mass numbers model”', Applied optics, Vol 47: pp. 153-56.

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank people, such as Thomas Cough, Stephen McCluskey, Marcel Tschudin, Siebren van der Werf, Andy Young and others for their help and constructive feedback. Any remaining errors in methodology or results are my responsibility of course!!! If you want to provide constructive feedback, let me know.

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Major content related changes: October 5, 2017