The Convergence angle is: -1° 24' +/- 1' So the Geodetic azimuthm is here: map azimuth - Convergence angle = 132° 38+/- 2'
So looking at this result, one needs to stand at least 5 yards from a fence. The best way is to do a few measurements while stepping one step back and forward and measure in reverse direction. If these measurement differ much, there must be something around that disturbs the magnetic field.
More information on error determination of magnetic grid readings (such as using a reference measurements) check this page.
From this picture one can determine (called photometry method), based on the width of the Sun (A) and the height above the horizon (B), an approximate time when it was taken (19:45 BST). Using the distance between the middle of the sun and Rockabill (C) one can then calculate the position of Rockabill. Doing that gives an Astronomic azimuthr of: 132° 24' +/- 10'.
Another picture has been taken on Dec. 21st, 2004 by Anthony Murhpy. If the centre of the Sun in this picture is indeed on the horizon, the Sun's azimuth is ~130° 50', furthermore the distance between Sun's centre and lighthouse Rockabill looks to be 3.25 times the diameter of the Sun, so around 3.25*0.542° = ~1° 46', thus the Astronomic azimuth of the lighthouse on Rockabill looks to be: ~132° 26'. Thus is again very close to the values calculated above.
In the below picture a trial has been made to show how the winter solstice Sun of 4000 years ago would have looked like in relation to Rockabill (seen from Baltray). I have used the moon as a proxy;-)
Moon just above lighthouse at Rockabill on July 17th, 2000 at 22:30 BST seen from Bettystown beach, proxying the winter solstice Sun of 4000 years ago seen from Baltray.
It is also done from the beach of Bettystown but now with the Moon as celestial object. The Moon was directly above Rockabill at an azimuthr of 124° 45' +/- 1'. In the above picture the Moon is precisely at the same position above Rockabill as the winter solstice Sun would have been 4000 years ago seen from Baltray.
The Map grid en Reference object are some 8' from each other. Longitude/latitude and Reference object reading are some 4' off. The Magnetic grid has the most variation. I assume that the Reference object reading is at the end the most accurate, but Longitude/latitude and Map grid can do in most instances.